I am 11-3-2 over the last 3 weeks and I went 4-2 last week. I’m on the West Coast in San Fran gearing up for an epic 49ers versus Titans clash on Sunday which you will have a prediction for on Sunday morning. Lets get back to college football and my Saturday pix.

Mich St -20.5  v W. Mich

Western Michigan has already lost twice to Big 10 teams this year and is coming off a loss to Kent St. Michigan state is on a 2 game losing streak after winning their previous 3.  They are at home and need to win this week and next week to become bowl eligible as they close the season against Penn State.  Look for Western Michigan to give up more than their average of 426 total yards per game especially the 176 rushing per game.

I am betting Michigan State to cover the 20.5 at home

Pitt -21 v Syracuse

This is one of my favorite under the radar teams in football. Pittsburgh is a top 10 team if not for the stumble at NC State in a shoot out in September.  After Syracuse the Panthers have ND at home, West Va on the road and end up the season at home against Cinci for the Big East title.  I guess you can call this a trap game, but we are talking about a Syracuse team who lost their ONLY road game in week 2 at Penn State and will play 3 of 4 on the road to end the season. Syracuse is 2-15 the last 3 years on the road and are going into a red hot Pitt team with 2 weeks off.

I am betting Pitt to cover  -21 at home

TCU -25 v San Diego St

There is not a hotter team than TCU in all of college football. They have won all 8 games this year and seem to be getting better as the season progresses. Their last 3 wins are by a combined 123-13 including the whooping at BYU 38-7.  This TCU team I believe can play with and beat ANYONE in the SEC or any other league on any field.  The defense is awesome only giving up a minuscule 235 total yds per game including only 89 on the ground while San Diego St. averages only 69 per game.  SD St is seeking 2 wins in the last 4 to go to a bowl game. They will have to get those against Wyoming and UNLV because TCU is on a mission and will not stop till they are in a BCS Championship game.

I am betting TCU to cover the -25 on the road.

Upset Special

Stanford +8 v Oregon

I know what you are thinking. Why do you like Stanford after Oregon showed they are the class of the Pac 10 by crushing USC?  That is exactly why. This will be a let down game on the road to a Stanford team who plays well at home and needs a win to become bowl eligible. In the past 2 1/2 years, Pac-10 teams are 7-13 the week after they face USC. After Oregon, Stanford then goes to USC, at home to Cal in the big game and Notre Dame at home. Stanford will be getting a lot of exposure if they can beat a top 10 team this week which makes next week against USC a game to watch and so on for the final 3 they play.  Although Stanford  senior middle linebacker Clinton Snyder has suffered a season-ending knee injury the Cardinal has the potential to overpower Oregon’s undersized defense and thereby keep the Ducks’ offense off the field which could be a huge key to Stanford’s pursuit of becoming bowl eligible.

I am betting Stanford to cover +8 at home

LSU + 7.5 at Alabama

This is the game of the week and the game of ineptitude in our eyes. Yes we are anti-SEC biased but Alabama is just not that good. Their QB is terrible and that makes them one dimensional. One dimensional teams never succeed against well coached teams and teams with good defenses. These are two traits LSU has. I am not sure LSU has enough offense to win the game outright but we think they have a chance. I just think 7.5 points is way too many and LSU will do enough to keep it close.

I am betting LSU to cover 7.5 on the road

OK lets get right to it..

• Top 4 pix
• 2 for 2 …which are 2 favorites and 2 underdog specials
• 1AA play o’the day

Top 4

Mich +4.5
LSU -7
Houston -16.5
Pitt -6.5
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2For2

Duke -4 vs Maryland – Duke is potent and Maryland is horrible.
Cal -35.5 vs Wazzu – Do I need to get into specifics here? At Cal vs Wazzu .. nuff said
Washington +10 vs Oregon – The #1 pick in the NFL Draft getting 10 at home in an Oregon trap game before next week vs USC
Iowa +1.5 @ Mich St – Iowa is that good and Mich St is not. This is a respect game for the Hawkeyes
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1AA Play o’the day

Western Illinois Leathernecks -11.5 @ Indiana State – Why?.. Cuz I like the name Leathernecks

I dont have a freaking clue about the game tonight. OK maybe I do.

I wouldn’t be a degenerate if I didnt at least have an opinion on who will cover in this Thursday night tilt. I guess the object is to pick the team I believe will win and since the spread is only NC -2.5 these 2 teams are without a doubt in the same position.

Allow me to elaborate. Combined they are 0-5 in the ACC. Florida State is 0-3 with losses to #8 Miami opening weekend, at BC and against #11 GeoTech last week all by a combined total of 16 points. This is the Noles 3rd road game of the year and since we know they lost at BC I’m sure you are wondering who else they played on the road. Try at BYU where they waxed the Cougs’ 54-28. Florida State is only losing by less than a TD average so they have been in their games.

On the other side of the coin we have the most overrated preseason top 25 team in college football.  NC knew they lost a lot of offense by losing savior Hakeem Nicks, who has scored the last 3 weeks for the NY Giants, along with other stars like Brandon Tate and Brooks Foster from the receiving corps. Other than scoring 40 against Citadel and 42 against Georgia Southern the Heels have scored a total of 53 points (13.5 avg) in their other 4 games of the season. Even more schocking is they have yet to go over 7 points in either of their 2 ACC games which includes a thumping by happless Virginia when they only scored 3 points at home! Never forget Viginia gave up 26 in a loss at home against Bill and Mary earlier this year.

So after all this ranting and raving here’s the bottom line.

Give Bobby Bowden 2 weeks to prepare especially after a 3 game losing streak during that whole booster BS in front of a national TV audience and I lean to Fla State. Although they average 426 yds/game they also give it up equally, but to better teams and I’m not sure the Heels are equal to BYU, Miami, GTech, and South Florida. I dont see Heels having a chance.

In a good game to watch..

I am betting Florida State to cover the +2.5 on the road

I just can’t wait any longer to tell you my picks because the Dodgers and Angels unfortunately have given me no reason to watch MLB. Here are my “Early 4” pix for Saturday.

Pitt -6.5 vs So Fla

This is one of the games I told you about in my Big East preseason review
which would be the one to watch. Of course I didnt know Matt Grothe
was not going to be playing becuase then it would have been a difficult choice.
Pitt is 6-1 coming off a trap game at Rutgers where Schiano usually finds
a way to beat Wannstedt, but not this time. Pitt runs for over 225 and So Fla
gives up 120 per game. Panthers go 7-1, which will mark their best start
since 1982 by a team quarterbacked by Dan Marino.

I am betting Pitt at home -6.5
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Michigan +4.5 vs Penn St

Penn State is a very weak 6-1. Their only tough game was at home against Iowa and they lost. They have played teams that are a combined 19-21 including Ill, E. Illinois, Akron, Temple and Syracuse. Illinois was the only game on the road. Michigan on the other hand did lose to Iowa and scored 28 pts, but it was on the road. Michigan has played a great schedule well and after scoring 63 last week I think they are pumped and I’m getting 4.5 at the Big House.

I am betting Michigan to cover +4.5 at home

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LSU -7 vs Auburn

This is the game where Les Miles introduces Gene Chizik to real SEC football.
Auburn has gotten crushed at Arkansas and lost at home to a lousy Kentucky team in the last 2 weeks.  Chizik has a poor playing QB and LSU has had 2 weeks to prepare after giving Florida all they wanted. LSU is at home and will crush the Tigers this week. Then LSU can rest the starters next week against Too-Lame and be ready to play at Alabama in 2 weeks fully healthy.

I am betting LSU to cover -7 at home

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Houston -16 v SMU

If it wasn’t for a tremendous brain fart at UTEP three weeks ago this would be 24 pts instead of 16 pts. Houston averages over 600 yards per game with 400+ in the air. SMU gives up 350+ total yards per game so this coudl get ugly. SMU played well against TCU in the annual grudge match until TCU won out and last week they gave Navy all they could handle, but I think there is trouble this week. Houston is coming home after 3 straight and 4 out of 5 road games including a win at Okie St with Dez Bryant and at Miss St with plus a home victory against a hot Texas Tech team. Never forget SMU lost to Wazzu, nuff said.

I am betting Houston to cover -16

It’s ‘Hump Day’ and that means CFA is on TV. I am providing you the trends for some of the biggest college games of the weekend. Picks from D2B will be forthcoming on Friday.

Pitt -6.5 vs South Fla

SOUTH FLORIDA
South Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
South Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida’s last 6 games on the road

PITTSBURGH
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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Gtech -7 @ Virginia

GEORGIA TECH
Georgia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Georgia Tech is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Virginia
Georgia Tech is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech’s last 5 games when playing Virginia
Georgia Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Georgia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia

VIRGINIA
Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Virginia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech
Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia’s last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
Virginia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
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Oregon -10.5 @ Wash

OREGON
Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oregon is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon’s last 5 games on the road
Oregon is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon’s last 7 games when playing Washington

WASHINGTON
Washington is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games
Washington is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Washington is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington’s last 15 games at home
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing Oregon
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LSU -8 vs Auburn

AUBURN
Auburn is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn’s last 7 games
Auburn is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Auburn is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Auburn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Auburn’s last 8 games on the road
Auburn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LSU
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Auburn’s last 8 games when playing LSU
Auburn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
Auburn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LSU

LSU
LSU is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games
LSU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LSU’s last 5 games
LSU is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
LSU is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LSU’s last 5 games at home
LSU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU’s last 8 games when playing Auburn
LSU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Auburn
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn
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USC -21 vs Oregon State

OREGON STATE
Oregon State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oregon State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State’s last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Southern Cal
Oregon State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Southern Cal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State’s last 7 games when playing Southern Cal
Oregon State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Southern Cal
Oregon State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Cal

SOUTHERN CAL
Southern Cal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Cal is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal’s last 5 games
Southern Cal is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Southern Cal’s last 23 games at home
Southern Cal is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oregon State
Southern Cal is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Cal’s last 7 games when playing Oregon State
Southern Cal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oregon State
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State
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TCU -3 @ BYU

TCU
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
TCU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU’s last 5 games on the road
TCU is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing BYU

BYU
BYU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
BYU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of BYU’s last 6 games
BYU is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
BYU is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games at home
BYU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing TCU

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Iowa -1 @ Mich St

IOWA
Iowa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Iowa’s last 16 games on the road
Iowa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa’s last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Iowa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan State

MICHIGAN STATE
Michigan State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Michigan State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 6 games when playing Iowa
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
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