D2B Final Week BCS Pix

Well we have come to the final week of my regular season pix of course sans the Army vs Navy clash next week. This week has already kicked off with Oregon winning the Civil War and punching a ticket to Pasadena. Just think in 2 weeks we have our first bowl game and then we slide into the ‘Most Wonderful Time of the Year.’

Central Michigan -13.5 v Ohio – MAC Championship

We start with my “Man Crush” Dan LeFevour who was just voted Player of the Year in the MAC this week going for the MAC Championship tonight against Ohio.  CMU cruised through their division while Ohio had to beat a resurgent Temple team last week to win their division.  Ohio lost only 1 game in the conference this year to Kent where the Golden Flashes had seven sacks, 15 tackles for loss, intercepted three passes and didn’t allow an offensive touchdown. The only other two losses for the Bobcats were to UConn and the University of Tennessee. CMU did not lose a conference game and only lost at Arizona and at BC, but they did win at Michigan State.  Both Defenses give up over 300 total yards each game, but CMU has 52 offensive TD’s which is 22 more than Ohio.  The Chippewas are playing in Detroit where the home crowd will be ready and the elements will not be a factor since it will be played in a dome. 13.5 points for a conference championship is a bit much in my mind.

I am betting Ohio +13.5 to cover

=========================

Boise St -47 v New Mexico St

This is such a horrible game. Boise is always trying to impress the BCS bunch in order to show that they can play with anyone and beat them, but I don’t think this game will help them at all.  New Mexico St has only scored 15 TDs on offense all year and will need half of those in just this game to stay competitive. That will not happen on the Smurf turf.  Boise has scored 62 TDs this year while NMSU has given up 48 so you do the math. With all the conference championships getting all the attention this game is under the radar except for maybe the Fiesta Bowl directors watching. Look for Boise St on Senior Day to score and score often.

I am betting Boise St -47 to cover

==============================

Florida -5.5 v Alabama – SEC Championship

This is the National Championship in a nut shell. Whoever wins this game is the early favorite in the BCS Title Game January 7th.  The question remains is Superman Tebow going to beat a team who has lately looked suspect on their team strength which is defense and can the Tide keep the Gators from running outside the tackles and make Tebow throw outside not down the middle? Florida is coming off probably their best game of the year in a total domination of Florida State and have only given up 9 TD’s all year.  Bama has only given up 13 TD’s all year and a scant 77 yards per game rushing.  This will not be a scoring fest and may be a repeat of last year when Bama had the lead and controlled the game for 3 1/2 quarters only to lose the spread and the game in the final 8 minutes.  I believe that although Florida has less offensive weapons than last year the Gators will win because they know how to win.  I am seeing a 17-10 final with the Gators going to Pasadena.

I am betting Florida -5.5 to cover

===========================

Texas -14.5 v Nebraska – Big 12 Championship

Other than last year’s blowout this game always seems to provide us a great drama and upsets. This year will be no different. the Huskers are an enigma.  They should have beaten VTech back in September and they lost at home to Iowa State all by a total of 3 points. They did have a beat down by Texas Tech, but have regrouped since the Iowa State loss to reel off 5 straight including beating Oklahoma and doing it all with defense.  With the help of All American Ndamukong Suh they have only allowed 13 TD’s all year and that includes 5 ranked teams with potent Big 12 offenses.  If it sounds I am leaning toward Nebraska you may be right, but Colt McCoy is playing for the Heisman Trophy in this game as well as leading the team to a BCS Title bid.  They are running on all cylinders on offense, but they have been playing cream puffs. The Horn’s D is only giving up 66 yards per game rushing while Nebraska relies on a balanced offense so it will be interesting to see who is really going to control the line of scrimmage.  If Nebraska can score TD’s instead of FG’s then they have a chance, but if they trade FG’s to Texas TD’s this game will never be in doubt.

I am betting Nebraska +14.5 to cover