Archives for November 2009

I am 11-3-2 over the last 3 weeks and I went 4-2 last week. I’m on the West Coast in San Fran gearing up for an epic 49ers versus Titans clash on Sunday which you will have a prediction for on Sunday morning. Lets get back to college football and my Saturday pix.

Mich St -20.5  v W. Mich

Western Michigan has already lost twice to Big 10 teams this year and is coming off a loss to Kent St. Michigan state is on a 2 game losing streak after winning their previous 3.  They are at home and need to win this week and next week to become bowl eligible as they close the season against Penn State.  Look for Western Michigan to give up more than their average of 426 total yards per game especially the 176 rushing per game.

I am betting Michigan State to cover the 20.5 at home

Pitt -21 v Syracuse

This is one of my favorite under the radar teams in football. Pittsburgh is a top 10 team if not for the stumble at NC State in a shoot out in September.  After Syracuse the Panthers have ND at home, West Va on the road and end up the season at home against Cinci for the Big East title.  I guess you can call this a trap game, but we are talking about a Syracuse team who lost their ONLY road game in week 2 at Penn State and will play 3 of 4 on the road to end the season. Syracuse is 2-15 the last 3 years on the road and are going into a red hot Pitt team with 2 weeks off.

I am betting Pitt to cover  -21 at home

TCU -25 v San Diego St

There is not a hotter team than TCU in all of college football. They have won all 8 games this year and seem to be getting better as the season progresses. Their last 3 wins are by a combined 123-13 including the whooping at BYU 38-7.  This TCU team I believe can play with and beat ANYONE in the SEC or any other league on any field.  The defense is awesome only giving up a minuscule 235 total yds per game including only 89 on the ground while San Diego St. averages only 69 per game.  SD St is seeking 2 wins in the last 4 to go to a bowl game. They will have to get those against Wyoming and UNLV because TCU is on a mission and will not stop till they are in a BCS Championship game.

I am betting TCU to cover the -25 on the road.

Upset Special

Stanford +8 v Oregon

I know what you are thinking. Why do you like Stanford after Oregon showed they are the class of the Pac 10 by crushing USC?  That is exactly why. This will be a let down game on the road to a Stanford team who plays well at home and needs a win to become bowl eligible. In the past 2 1/2 years, Pac-10 teams are 7-13 the week after they face USC. After Oregon, Stanford then goes to USC, at home to Cal in the big game and Notre Dame at home. Stanford will be getting a lot of exposure if they can beat a top 10 team this week which makes next week against USC a game to watch and so on for the final 3 they play.  Although Stanford  senior middle linebacker Clinton Snyder has suffered a season-ending knee injury the Cardinal has the potential to overpower Oregon’s undersized defense and thereby keep the Ducks’ offense off the field which could be a huge key to Stanford’s pursuit of becoming bowl eligible.

I am betting Stanford to cover +8 at home

LSU + 7.5 at Alabama

This is the game of the week and the game of ineptitude in our eyes. Yes we are anti-SEC biased but Alabama is just not that good. Their QB is terrible and that makes them one dimensional. One dimensional teams never succeed against well coached teams and teams with good defenses. These are two traits LSU has. I am not sure LSU has enough offense to win the game outright but we think they have a chance. I just think 7.5 points is way too many and LSU will do enough to keep it close.

I am betting LSU to cover 7.5 on the road