Archives for October 2009

OK lets get right to it..

• Top 4 pix
• 2 for 2 …which are 2 favorites and 2 underdog specials
• 1AA play o’the day

Top 4

Mich +4.5
LSU -7
Houston -16.5
Pitt -6.5
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2For2

Duke -4 vs Maryland – Duke is potent and Maryland is horrible.
Cal -35.5 vs Wazzu – Do I need to get into specifics here? At Cal vs Wazzu .. nuff said
Washington +10 vs Oregon – The #1 pick in the NFL Draft getting 10 at home in an Oregon trap game before next week vs USC
Iowa +1.5 @ Mich St – Iowa is that good and Mich St is not. This is a respect game for the Hawkeyes
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1AA Play o’the day

Western Illinois Leathernecks -11.5 @ Indiana State – Why?.. Cuz I like the name Leathernecks

I dont have a freaking clue about the game tonight. OK maybe I do.

I wouldn’t be a degenerate if I didnt at least have an opinion on who will cover in this Thursday night tilt. I guess the object is to pick the team I believe will win and since the spread is only NC -2.5 these 2 teams are without a doubt in the same position.

Allow me to elaborate. Combined they are 0-5 in the ACC. Florida State is 0-3 with losses to #8 Miami opening weekend, at BC and against #11 GeoTech last week all by a combined total of 16 points. This is the Noles 3rd road game of the year and since we know they lost at BC I’m sure you are wondering who else they played on the road. Try at BYU where they waxed the Cougs’ 54-28. Florida State is only losing by less than a TD average so they have been in their games.

On the other side of the coin we have the most overrated preseason top 25 team in college football.  NC knew they lost a lot of offense by losing savior Hakeem Nicks, who has scored the last 3 weeks for the NY Giants, along with other stars like Brandon Tate and Brooks Foster from the receiving corps. Other than scoring 40 against Citadel and 42 against Georgia Southern the Heels have scored a total of 53 points (13.5 avg) in their other 4 games of the season. Even more schocking is they have yet to go over 7 points in either of their 2 ACC games which includes a thumping by happless Virginia when they only scored 3 points at home! Never forget Viginia gave up 26 in a loss at home against Bill and Mary earlier this year.

So after all this ranting and raving here’s the bottom line.

Give Bobby Bowden 2 weeks to prepare especially after a 3 game losing streak during that whole booster BS in front of a national TV audience and I lean to Fla State. Although they average 426 yds/game they also give it up equally, but to better teams and I’m not sure the Heels are equal to BYU, Miami, GTech, and South Florida. I dont see Heels having a chance.

In a good game to watch..

I am betting Florida State to cover the +2.5 on the road

I just can’t wait any longer to tell you my picks because the Dodgers and Angels unfortunately have given me no reason to watch MLB. Here are my “Early 4” pix for Saturday.

Pitt -6.5 vs So Fla

This is one of the games I told you about in my Big East preseason review
which would be the one to watch. Of course I didnt know Matt Grothe
was not going to be playing becuase then it would have been a difficult choice.
Pitt is 6-1 coming off a trap game at Rutgers where Schiano usually finds
a way to beat Wannstedt, but not this time. Pitt runs for over 225 and So Fla
gives up 120 per game. Panthers go 7-1, which will mark their best start
since 1982 by a team quarterbacked by Dan Marino.

I am betting Pitt at home -6.5
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Michigan +4.5 vs Penn St

Penn State is a very weak 6-1. Their only tough game was at home against Iowa and they lost. They have played teams that are a combined 19-21 including Ill, E. Illinois, Akron, Temple and Syracuse. Illinois was the only game on the road. Michigan on the other hand did lose to Iowa and scored 28 pts, but it was on the road. Michigan has played a great schedule well and after scoring 63 last week I think they are pumped and I’m getting 4.5 at the Big House.

I am betting Michigan to cover +4.5 at home

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LSU -7 vs Auburn

This is the game where Les Miles introduces Gene Chizik to real SEC football.
Auburn has gotten crushed at Arkansas and lost at home to a lousy Kentucky team in the last 2 weeks.  Chizik has a poor playing QB and LSU has had 2 weeks to prepare after giving Florida all they wanted. LSU is at home and will crush the Tigers this week. Then LSU can rest the starters next week against Too-Lame and be ready to play at Alabama in 2 weeks fully healthy.

I am betting LSU to cover -7 at home

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Houston -16 v SMU

If it wasn’t for a tremendous brain fart at UTEP three weeks ago this would be 24 pts instead of 16 pts. Houston averages over 600 yards per game with 400+ in the air. SMU gives up 350+ total yards per game so this coudl get ugly. SMU played well against TCU in the annual grudge match until TCU won out and last week they gave Navy all they could handle, but I think there is trouble this week. Houston is coming home after 3 straight and 4 out of 5 road games including a win at Okie St with Dez Bryant and at Miss St with plus a home victory against a hot Texas Tech team. Never forget SMU lost to Wazzu, nuff said.

I am betting Houston to cover -16