Archives for October 2009

So over the last two weeks in college football wagering I’m a solid 7-1-2 with my top picks

Why stop there? Here are my Fabulous 4 for Halloween Saturday Oct 31 +

Cinci -16 @ Syracuse

Cinci comes into this game clicking on all cylinders with or without their top QB. In their system you just plug in another arm and score 40+ without a problem. The unheralded aspect of Cinci is their defense because they have given up only 10 TDs in 7 games and many of those are after the outcome has already been determined. Syracuse has beaten Maine, Akron and Northwestern so far this year. Although Greg Paulus has surprised many and has garnered more wins this year than in the last 4 years he will be a human pinata against Cincy. With UConn coming up next week at home this can’t be considered a trap game for Cinci and they will play loose until the December 5th showdown against Pitt. With a schedule left of Syracuse, UConn, West Virginia, Illinois and Pitt.. Cinci believes they are a major player in the BCS. If this game was in Cincy the spread would be above 27 pts.

I am betting Cincinnati -16.5 on the road

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Iowa -17 vs Indiana

Indiana had a 28-3 lead against Northwestern while picking off the Wildcats QB 3 times in the second half, but they still LOST! They gave up a safety in the 3rd and 10 pts in the 4th to lose 29-28. This was their 4th loss in their last 5 and I don’t see Iowa taking its foot off the gas in this game. Iowa is coming off the emotional last play win at Michigan St. and will use these next 2 weeks at home against Indiana and Northwestern to ready themselves for a road game at Ohio St. on Nov 14th. This is Iowa’s first home game in 3 weeks and they will score and score alot early so they can start resting players. The only gaffe I am scared of is that they will give up the late score to screw me. Iowa has only beaten 1 team by this spread, but i believe they need to start blowing out inferior opponants to get BCS pts.

I am betting Iowa -17 at home

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NC State +10 at Florida State

Homecoming Game. Florida State is coming off a nice come from behind win last Thursday night at North Carolina. They will exploit the weak NC State secondary and the best QB in the ACC Chris Ponder will throw for more than 400 yds and destroy the Wolfpack. I do think the Florida State defense will give up some points to Russell Wilson and allow some outside runs to the ‘Pack RBs, but Duke also did and still dominated NC St. with a 49-28 victory. Fla St has had a 10 day window to get ready and State has had 14 days, but considering this is a coaching grudge match with Fla St assistant coach Chuck Amato and his old team the game should be great to watch if you like scoring. In the end NC State will turn the ball over and Fla State’s speed with their WR’s will allow long pass plays for the Seminoles which will allow them to rack up over 40 pts. If Fla St. wins out they have a chance to win the ACC Atlantic Division and supplant Bobby as the head coach for another year.

I am betting Fla St -10 at home

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OK -28 vs Kansas State

The suspense is over and the keys have now been turned over to Landry Jones for the future. The Sooners will come out swinging with a homecoming crowd against a Kansas State team with losses to UCLA, La Lafayette and Texas Tech. Kansas State is leading the Big 12 North Division, but this game will get ugly!

I am betting the Oklahoma Sooners -28 at home

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Extra piece of candy upset special

Oregon +3 vs USC

I guess last week’s ‘Trap Game’ at Washington really didn’t happen.  Oregon dominated the Huskies 43-19 and showed that since the season opener debacle at Boise they are focused and are on track for a shot at a BCS game. USC gave up 63 pts in their last 2 games and it seems as though when they play a team with a good offense they are just an ordinary defense.  All the naysayers are picking USC because they are USC, but the line opened up with USC -4.5 and has fallen ever since. As of today the weather is rain/snow mix and by gametime Saturday there will be showers in the low 50s. The No. 5-ranked Trojans are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 October contests, including 1-2 ATS this month after relatively close finishes against Notre Dame (+10) and Oregon State (+21).

I am betting Oregon +3 at home

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The Largest Cocktail Party Pick

Fla -14 vs Georgia – in Jacksonville

The BCS #1 Ranked Gators travel to a neutral field for the Annual Cocktail Party against Georgia. Florida has not looked good in their last 2 victories vs Arkansas and Mississippi St after they squeaked by LSU. Now they go up against a young Bulldog team that at times looks great and other days looks awful. Georgia can score as we have seen with 41 vs So Car and 52 vs Arkansas, but this is the game where Florida shows again why they are #1 team with a convincing win.

I am betting Florida -14 at a neutral site.