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Of course people will be up in arms about even the speculation of The Karl being axed. I cant wait to see jesse and rev. al sharpton go on a the talk shows cus a black coach was again wronged. Cant say that he beat USC because so has Stanford and Oregon State over the last 2 years. But none of them has looked as bad as the Bruins when they lost to Notre Dame this year. A complete embarassment

Well lets take a look shall we:
let’s assume that this year’s 20 returning starters team manages to eek out a single win out of its last 3 games, all of which are against ranked teams, and ends the year at 6-6. Thus, by the sheer, almighty grace of Heaven, UCLA’s record would be this:

2003 — 6-7 (L - Silicon Valley Bowl)
2004 — 6-6 (L - Las Vegas Bowl)
2005 — 10-2 (W - Sun Bowl)
2006 — 7-6 (L - Emerald Bowl)
2007 — 6-6 (hypothetical, not counting Bowl Game)
TOTAL: 35-27, or 56.45%.

Flip a coin, and you have a 50% chance of it coming up heads or tails. A 1 in 2 chance.

After 5 years with UCLA, it’s still not all-that-much better than a coin flip (i.e. a 1 in 2 chance) as to whether a UCLA team is going to win or not. Take out 2005, and it’s exactly that. 25 and 25. A freaking coin flip.

By contrast, compare KD’s first 5 years to the 5-year records of some other Pac-10 coaches:

U$C — Carroll — 54-10 = 84.38%.
Better than a 5 out of 6 chance.

Cal — Tedford — 43-20 = 68.25%.
Better than 2 out of 3.

Oregon — Bellotti — 39-20 = 66.10%.
Just a hair under 2 out of 3.

UCLA — Toledo — 35-23 = 60.34%
Just about 3 out of 5.

Even Toledo was more likely to win during his first 5 years than KD. I’m not saying that 60% SHOULD be the baseline, but come ON.

Just winning at Coach Bellotti’s level means winning an average of 8 out of 12 games every year. If in one year you get 10 wins, you may have a 6-win year to balance it out. Still, I wouldn’t mind THAT kind of spread: heads, you go to Vegas; tails, you might win the Pac-10.

Under KD, however, we’ve had ONE 10-win season for THREE 6 or 7-win seasons. At the rate we’re going, we’ll be LUCKY to make it one 10-win season against FOUR 6-win seasons.

Karl Dorrell’s Record (updated as of 12/27/06)

1. 1-3 against Southern Cal.
2. No Pac-10 championships.
3. No BCS bowl games.
4. 1-10 on the road against teams with a winning record.
5. Worst starting 3- AND 4-year record of any UCLA football coach since WW2, including Bob Toledo who was fired.
6. Worse winning percentage than Bob Toledo, who was fired.
7. 3-11 against ranked teams.
8. 2-7 against top 10 teams.
9. Only 6 conference wins against teams over .500.
10. 19-14 in the Pac-10.
11. 8-17 against teams with a winning record.
12. 10 losses to unranked teams.
13. He has a losing record after October, 6-12.
14. Embarrassing losses to Wyoming, Fresno State, Arizona, Washington State at home and Southern Cal.
15. Only 1 big game win.
16. Revolving door for assistant coaches.
17. 80% of Bruins fans polled on Bruinsnation.com disapprove of the job Karl Dorrell is doing.